Giro stage 16 preview showstoppa on the foppa – podium cafe small ways to make money

The aprica, rated a category 3 by the giro, has a difficult starting kilometer at 9.7% but then becomes more of a false flat climb, averaging 3.7% over 13.2 kilometers. After the descent from aprica, the riders will have only 13.5 kilometers before the start of the passo della foppa small ways to make money (or in non-hipster parlance, the mortirolo). That run-in won’t be flat, but instead will be a gradual descent with a 6 small ways to make money or 7% two kilometer speed bump along the way. And that’s when we’ll get to the main act of the stage, 40 kilometers before the finish— the mortirolo.

In 2017, the mortirolo was used, but ascending the easier side from edolo and was only small ways to make money the first of three climbs on that day. (nibali won that stage, gaining over 2 minutes over eventual winner doom). In 2015, the mortirolo was used in a manner very similar to small ways to make money this stage— coming as the final real climb and then a descent small ways to make money and slight climb into aprica. Mikel landa won that stage, taking about 40 seconds from contador. The GC separation on that day was significant— with only kruijswijk finishing with contador. Aru, the next GC contender, was almost 3 minutes back. In 2010, with a similar finish, michele scarponi arrived together at the finish with nibali and small ways to make money basso, with the next best rider, vino, over 3 minutes behind. What this shows is that this is gonna be a small ways to make money decisive stage, even with, or maybe because of, the loss of the gavia. Contador, in the 2015 giro, riding past the pantani monument, which commemorates that time that pantani ditched his bike and small ways to make money rode an isosceles triangle up the mortirolo. Tim de waele/getty images WHAT’S GONNA HAPPEN?

Conor: I think I expressed my pretty clear enthusiasm for the small ways to make money previous mountain stages but I don’t like this one. When it comes to attacking, passes like the gavia never get the attention especially when small ways to make money there are greater challenges to come. Basically, no one will attack on the gavia because they’re (rightfully) too scared of the mortirolo. And nobody will attack on the mortirolo because it’s impossible to attack on the mortirolo. To accelerate on that gradient is a very bad idea small ways to make money if you’re not planning to bonk like, five minutes later. The stage will be good and we’ll see guy after guy drop off the back but small ways to make money if you want attacking racing, look elsewhere. By this point we’ll have a good idea of the GC battle and small ways to make money I can picture the top guys whittling the peloton apart small ways to make money until only they remain with a run into ponte di small ways to make money legno to come. The guy who will win will be a team mate small ways to make money of a podium contender. I don’t think the race will be won outright here.

Without the gavia, there are now several factors that lead me to think small ways to make money that this is going to be the decisive stage of small ways to make money this giro. First, the gavia-mortirolo combo would have led to more conservative racing prior small ways to make money to the mortirolo. As conor says above, no rider not named froome would have risked attacking on small ways to make money as high and difficult a climb as the gavia knowing small ways to make money that the mortirolo is still to come. Second, the inclusion of the gavia likely would have led to small ways to make money more conservative racing on the mortirolo itself— it would have been even harder to attack on the small ways to make money mortirolo with a massive leg-softener like the gavia immediately preceding it. Now, presumably, the riders will get to the mortirolo with relatively fresher small ways to make money legs. The loss of the gavia also means that the stage small ways to make money has been shortened from 226 kilometers to (a still considerable) 194 kilometers. Hopefully, those (relatively) fresher legs lead to more aggressive riding.

Moreover, though, while there are still three mountain stages to come prior small ways to make money to the final TT in verona, this stage provides the best opportunity for the purer climbers small ways to make money to gain time on the better tters. Stage 17 is bumpy, but only has a final 4 kilometers of steep climbing small ways to make money where a rider can make a big difference. Stage 19 is essentially a mono-climb summit finish, but on relatively gentle slopes, averaging 5.7% over 13.1 kilometers. Stage 20 could be a barn burner, but does any rider really want to bank all of small ways to make money their GC hopes on the last stage before the TT? No, stage 16 is the giro GC contenders’ date with destiny— if any rider has a hope of wearing pink after small ways to make money verona, this stage is their greatest opportunity and challenge.

It’s an ideal setup for a historic showdown on the small ways to make money mortirolo. Both superman and yates need to attack to have any small ways to make money hope of putting themselves back in contention. Needing minutes, not seconds, they can’t afford to play the attritional game on the mortirolo. Before the emergence of carapaz, you would have put both as two of the top small ways to make money 3 climbers in the race. And both have two of the stronger teams in the small ways to make money race— look for both to try to get allies in the small ways to make money morning break to provide assistance on the mortirolo.

Nibali may find lopez and yates to be situational allies. The shark still needs to find two minutes on roglic small ways to make money to have a chance in the final TT. He probably needs to find less time against carapaz, as presumably nibali will have the upper hand against the small ways to make money time trialling champ of equador. Look for nibs to join forces with whomever is willing small ways to make money and to put on a masterclass descending from the mortirolo.

Movistar has the best hand to play in this stage— with carapaz in pink and landa two and a half small ways to make money minutes behind roglic and one and a half minutes behind small ways to make money nibali. With astana and mitchelton, movistar also has one of the strongest teams— amador or carretero could be sent up the road to small ways to make money assist the leaders in the latter part of the stage. So far, their strategy has been letting carapaz attack while landa follows small ways to make money the wheels of the leaders, due to carapaz being allowed more leeway. Now with the pink on carapaz’s shoulders, perhaps they now switch that strategy up— unleashing the landa while allowing shell (h/t fausto) to ride an attritional battle against nibali and roglic. Carapaz, asking himself whether he should or go. Tim de waele/getty images

The biggest question of this stage is WWTFSJD (what will the former ski jumper do)? So far, roglic has (perhaps strategically) given up time to attacking rivals in the mountains while small ways to make money hounding nibali for an invitation to his house to look small ways to make money at this trophy case. While roglic still has that final time trial to bank small ways to make money on— it’s not that long at only 16 kilometers and roglic’s performance in the final TT at last year’s tour should give him pause. In that TT, he gave up over a minute to doom, froome, and thomas, suggesting that he may find it more difficult to TT small ways to make money at the end of a long race. Perhaps roglic came into this race too hot and has small ways to make money not been able to sustain his peak or perhaps roglic small ways to make money has been riding strategically and is ready to launch himself small ways to make money up the slope of the mortirolo. This stage will answer that question.

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